2022 NBA Draft: Debating case for Chet Holmgren, Paolo Banchero, Jabari Smith or Jaden Ivey as No. 1 prospect

Who’s the No. 1 prospect within the 2022 NBA Draft?

We’ll discover out on Thursday night time who the Orlando Magic worth because the No. 1 choose as they choose first total for the primary time since 2004 – however there’s removed from a consensus view on the prime of this draft amongst NBA entrance places of work. And ditto for our group of specialists. In our closing prime 100 rankings comprised of a consensus taken from rankings by CBS Sports activities specialists Gary Parrish, Matt Norlander, David Cobb and myself, together with Adam Finkelstein and Travis Branham of 247Sports, there have been 4 totally different gamers who earned votes at No. 1.

So who’s the No. 1 prospect within the 2022 NBA Draft?

The scouts have their opinions however our math within the consensus rankings decided Chet Holmgren was deserving of the respect – however under every of us have said our instances for our alternative because the No. 1 professional prospect on this 12 months’s draft. This is who every of us had within the prime spot, and why, as we barrel in the direction of Thursday night time’s draft with a variety of views in regards to the prime of the category.

Need extra evaluation of the highest prospects within the NBA Draft? Pay attention under and subscribe to the Eye on Faculty Basketball podcast the place we take a deep dive on the highest gamers heading to the following degree.

The case for Chet Holmgren

I perceive the arguments for Jabari Smith, Paolo Banchero and even Jaden Ivey to go first total within the 2022 NBA Draft. I do not suppose any of them are ridiculous choices. However I nonetheless genuinely imagine Holmgren is one of the best prospect obtainable this 12 months, and that is why I additionally imagine Orlando ought to take him with the No. 1 choose. He is an elite rim-protector on protection who can float on offense, bounce it, shoot and usually exploit matchups.

If a standard huge guards him, he can in all probability go round him. If a smaller participant guards him, he can positively shoot proper over him. Am I involved in regards to the slight body? Positive, on some degree, I assume. However as ESPN’s Jonathon Givony famous on a latest podcast, what number of nice prospects have fallen in need of greatness strictly as a result of they’re too skinny? He could not consider any. Neither can I. So I am simply going to imagine Holmgren’s distinctive skill-set will permit him to beat his distinctive body and finally emerge as one of the best participant from this draft. – Gary Parrish

Holmgren has the very best ceiling within the draft for my part. He modifies the sport on each ends of the ground. There simply aren’t many 7-footers, anyplace on the planet, who can defend the rim, stretch the ground, and nonetheless present such an environment friendly inside ending presence. He is even a greater ball-handler and passer than I feel some persons are giving him credit score for. However on prime of all that, I am only a huge believer in his mentality and that inner-toughness. I do know he has to construct up his physique, but when there’s one factor that NBA groups have all found out do at an exceptionally high-level, it is that. Adam Finkelstein

We all know all the world is questioning his physique however the reality is, Holmgren has by no means had a historical past of accidents or proven that his lack of energy is an precise hindrance. You will not be capable of throw him on the Joel Embiids of the world, however nobody can throw something at him. In 4 to 5 years, we may legitimately be speaking about him being one of many faces of the League together with his capability to dribble, move and shoot not like any we’ve seen at his dimension and size together with the truth that he’s an elite defender and rim protector. Travis Branham

I perceive the attract of Smith and Banchero, however to me Holmgren’s upside is a notch above. Smith lacks playmaking potential – Holmgren can blossom superbly in that division. Banchero’s suspect as a 3-point shooter and on protection – Holmgren has a candy stroke and is without doubt one of the greatest rim-protecting prospects we have ever seen. I do not purchase the boisterous ravings in regards to the distinctive physique kind, both. Holmgren’s been capable of maintain his personal towards stronger gamers his complete life, and the NBA guidelines will proceed to evolve in his favor. He is already confirmed that he can carry out on the highest ranges of novice basketball, and he additionally has essentially the most room to enhance on any of the highest three prospects. Add all of it up, and that definitely feels like one of the best participant within the draft class. Colin Ward-Henninger

The case for Paolo Banchero

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Be it for CBSSports.com, on Eye on Faculty Basketball or on CBS Sports activities HQ, I’ve defined my place on having Banchero No. 1 on my huge board many instances in latest weeks. However right here, proper up towards the draft, as soon as extra, with feeling. Banchero is essentially the most smart choose of any participant on this class as a result of he is essentially the most developed and confirmed expertise. His numbers at Duke, with a number of different first-rounders within the beginning lineup, have been past passable: 17.2 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 3.2 apg for the top-rated offensive group within the nation, per KenPom.com.

Banchero was a 52.% 2-point shooter and 33.8% from 3-point vary. No person on this draft has Banchero’s mixture of dimension + ability + contact + passing capability + play-creation + rebounding prowess + aggressive edge. He has an above-average deal with, can work the submit, shoot from past the arc, and is not a black gap. The hesitation with him at No. 1 stems from the truth that he isn’t as probably damaging of a 3-point shooter as Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren and even Jaden Ivey are. However he can nonetheless shoot it. Defensively, he is bought extra floor to make up. Nobody is as able to play within the NBA tomorrow like Banchero, although, and I feel he’ll in the end show to be a multiple-time All-Star by the tip of his second contract. – Matt Norlander

The case for Jaden Ivey

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There are safer prospects on the prime of this class (Smith Jr.) and greater increase / bust propositions, too (Holmgren), however nobody possesses the uncommon mixture of explosive athleticism and creation capability that Ivey has on this draft. He is a human firecracker who can pop to the rim. He has the potential to turn into a real lead guard on the subsequent degree if he continues to develop and enhance as a decision-maker.

At worst he is usually a change-of-pace initiator whose dynamic explosiveness helps ease the burden of a group’s No. 1 initiating choice. I would take him no. 1 over everybody on this class on the possibility his playmaking improves even marginally, if not considerably, and his enchancment as a shooter during the last 12 months portends very properly for him as a blossoming star getting into the NBA. Kyle Boone

The case for Jabari Smith Jr.

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What most clearly separates Smith from Banchero, Holmgren and others as one of the best choose at No. 1 within the 2022 NBA Draft is his elite outdoors taking pictures. At 6-10 and with a 42% 3-point mark on 5.5 makes an attempt per recreation in his lone season at Auburn, Smith tasks as a superb long-term shooter on the subsequent degree. Whereas Banchero and Holmgren every flashed some vary from the perimeter of their lone school seasons, neither tasks as elite in any side of the sport fairly like Smith does as an outdoor shooter.

Provided that Smith additionally boasts wonderful defensive upside and a blossoming shot-creation portfolio offensively, he’s the most secure wager of the group to in the future be an NBA All-Star. With promising younger guards like Jalen Suggs and Cole Anthony distributing basketball in Orlando, Smith would make a superb addition to the Magic’s core group. Although it might take years for Smith to achieve his full potential, it is easy to see him changing into the Magic’s main scorer early in his profession as a consequence of feathery taking pictures contact he’ll convey into the league on day one. David Cobb

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