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2021 Stats (Rank)
Complete Offense: 6,919 yards (1st)
Offensive Touchdowns: 55 (4th)
Offensive Performs: 1,153 (2nd)
Move Makes an attempt + Sacks: 680 (fifth)
Rush Makes an attempt: 473 (twelfth)
Unaccounted for Targets: 205 (ninth)
Unaccounted for Carries: 36 (twenty third)
Nicely guess what? It is Mike McCarthy. You might keep in mind him from such occasions as “punting on fourth-and-2 within the third quarter of a playoff recreation they had been trailing by 16,” or perhaps kicking a discipline objective to take a one-point lead within the season opener and thus giving the ball again to Tom Brady. ” He’s a head coach who, barring the franchise quarterback getting damage, by some means at all times manages to win 10 video games and be hilarious while doing it. Soccer America likes to say very nasty issues about Mr. McCarthy and be aware he fooled the Cowboys based mostly on visiting PFF headquarters and studying off a script that he largely lied about. I say that we aren’t speaking sufficient concerning the job he is carried out in Dallas as a content material creator. There are some superb long-form video sequence on the market today – I’m an enormous fan of What Makes This Music Stink and Summoning Salt’s speedrun historical past movies. No one fairly does Dopey However One way or the other Finally Profitable like McCarthy does as we speak. It is an unparalleled run.
Kellen Moore took head teaching interviews this offseason however will return to attempt to beat the rap that his offense falls aside every time everybody is not completely wholesome. That Prescott‘s hamstring harm was a significant turning level for the offense, however with out Amari Cooper, the group is out of luxurious gadgets to overcompensate for schematic issues. This yr, Moore and Prescott shall be breaking into two new vast receivers whereas hoping Michael Gallup can get again from his late-season ACL tear in time to get the entire unit on the identical web page by October.
Dan Quinn additionally took head teaching interviews this offseason and was considered a frontrunner early on in some spots earlier than settling down with the Cowboys. His protection returns each participant who performed 500 or extra snaps final season in addition to Damontae Kazee and Keanu Neal and will profit from extra snaps from DeMarcus Lawrence and the drafting of Sam Williams within the second spherical. It is by no means straightforward for the No. 1 fantasy protection to repeat – an excessive amount of has to go proper within the first place, too many defensive touchdowns are pure random probability, and so forth – however the Cowboys have one other cupcake schedule with the AFC South and NFC North and are positively a top- 5 D / ST getting into the season.
That Prescott Weeks 1-6 (pre-hamstring harm): six begins, 1,813 yards, 16 touchdowns (three or extra TDs in 5 of six video games), 4 interceptions. 22 carries, 70 yards.
That Prescott Weeks 8-14: seven begins, 1,785 yards, 9 touchdowns (zero video games of three or extra TDs), six interceptions. 17 carries, 35 yards.
It was a story of two fantasy seasons, and one you doubtless needed to pivot from rapidly in case you had been hoping to truly go someplace within the playoffs. Prescott and the Cowboys have teased us for 2 years now with extraordinarily productive begins that appear to be fantasy gold, then fade into nothingness attributable to harm. Prescott turns 29 in July and has all of the franchise quarterback instruments however has but to actually put all of them collectively into the one transformative season that we all know he can create. It could by no means occur, however the truth that it may occur continues to maintain his ADP within the decrease finish of the QB1 tier. He hasn’t fairly taken on Ezekiel Elliott ranges of inventory tanking, however he is fairly inexpensive and you’ll moderately argue that he is definitely worth the funding as in comparison with an unknown like Trey Lance or coming-off-elbow-injection Matthew Stafford. Simply know Prescott comes with harm points and be able to both again up your funding or pivot rapidly relying on the league dimension. Cooper Rush‘s one begin in 2021 was profitable by the requirements of Cooper Rushbut when Prescott goes down with a significant harm once more, he’ll once more tank the whole thing of the remainder of this offense’s inventory.
The commerce of Amari Cooper opens up CeeDee Lamb as a simple WR1. Lamb acquired 13 targets in Week 13’s win in opposition to New Orleans throughout Cooper’s first recreation again from a bout with COVID-19, and it’s laborious to imagine he gained’t be a constant risk for 10 or extra targets with out Cooper. Placing Lamb into Cooper’s flanker function and letting him be the movement man goes to open up his recreation. I’ve seen some analysts down on Lamb due to his disappearing function at occasions final yr. I don’t imagine that may maintain up in 2022. I’d be comfy and assured taking him on the flip as a WR1 and suppose he’s about on par with In entrance of Adams. If Lamb had already been proven a stretch with 10-plus targets a recreation, he could be going within the first 10 picks in my estimation.
Compared to most tight ends inside the highest 12 in ADP on the place, there may be nothing attractive about Dalton Schultz. He is not a unicorn like Kyle Pitts and he does not have the top-of-position-upside of a lot of the prime 5 gamers. He wasn’t as robust of a prospect as TJ Hockenson and does not play on an offense as superb as Dawson Knox. He is a boring, protected choose. He is Zach Ertz minus ten years, and the Zach Ertz we have now at dwelling cannot play in opposition to man protection anymore. It is a guess on a receiver for an offense that has misplaced a whole lot of targets, has the potential of dropping much more if Gallup is out for further time, and has extra above-average strikes within the open discipline than apparent spotlight reel performs. I am by no means excited to take Schultz, however particularly in PPR, I am usually comfortable I did when the draft is over.
It is simple to know Dallas’ guess on Gallup over Cooper in case you take a look at the 2 cap figures and resolve Cooper is not a No. 1 wideout – even when we chortle at how Dallas obtained performed by attempting to leap the wideout market, we should admit that the distinction between the 2 is not that nice. However Gallup is rehabbing the late-season ACL tear, and every time reporters have requested somebody concerning the thought of him beginning in Week 1, Cowboys coaches and administration hem and haw. The ground right here is touchdown-or-bust starter, and Gallup basically did that in his greatest stretch of final season. Focused a median of 9 occasions a recreation from Weeks 11-14, he returned simply 246 yards on 20 catches with a single rating. He was coming off an harm then, sure, however guess what he’ll be doing this season? I’m bearish on Gallup till we begin seeing some weeks that might truly qualify as a increase.
James Washington and Jalen Tolbert are the third and fourth wideouts that determine to get main goal run whereas Gallup remains to be out and / or adjusting. Washington is a house run risk who performed with Ben Roethlisberger during the last two years, which implies he was about as helpful because the quantity 9 on a microwave panel. Prescott’s 2021 offseason shoulder Non-Harm However Perhaps An Harm did not wind up limiting his deep ball in the same approach, however I just like the guess on Tolbert a bit of higher, and OTA stories have him doing every part from catching factors to scoring within the pink zone. I believe Tolbert will finally show to be a third-round steal for Dallas, and it was shocking he made it there given the additional emphasis some groups placed on wideouts on this yr’s draft. He had manufacturing, timed velocity, and performed properly in opposition to actual competitors. The one cause there wasn’t extra manufacturing in opposition to prime competitors was due to the dearth of video games South Alabama was in a position to schedule in opposition to the SEC.
You’ll be able to safely ignore the TE2s right here. Jeremy Sprinkle is a journeyman tight finish and Sean McKeon is a blocker-first. If fourth-rounder Jake Ferguson by some means will get some early run, he may truly be a professional risk to catch some targets. I would be shocked if that occurs and at the moment imagine in him extra as a 2023 downside for Schultz-reliant managers.
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This can be a part the place I will introduce some dissonance into your heads, for it’s I, the Ezekiel Elliott believer.
Elliott performed in 4 video games earlier than hurting his PCL final season. In these 4 video games, he had a 26.1% dashing DVOA, was eight DYAR behind Austin Ekeler for first within the NFL, and completed above common in NFL Subsequent Gen Stats’ yards above expectation in three of 4 video games. The outlier week, the opener in opposition to the Bucs, was a recreation the place Tampa exploited the truth that they’ve Vita Vea and dominated the road of scrimmage.
Then he damage his PCL, and the Cowboys, being the Cowboys, punished us all by enjoying him damage. His pursuits definitely weren’t superior by enjoying damage. Tony Pollard misplaced an opportunity to determine himself as one of many NFL’s greatest backup working backs. The Cowboys misplaced video games by counting on Elliott between the tackles. And since Elliott’s contract was already an anchor on the Dallas wage cap, it was extremely straightforward to simply transition to him being an all-around anchor as a story. Working backs don’t matter, issues of that nature.
However let’s take a step again from that: The truth that he performed damage tells you a large number about how a lot Dallas trusts him. Not one of the offseason rhetoric we’ve seen has proven us something aside from Dallas wanting Elliott to be a significant a part of the offense, one thing that they’ve backed up with a robust financial funding. Stephen Jones says “he is a rattling good working again and I believe he will assist us win. ” The pure response to a public that has been force-fed 200 injured Elliott carries that felt extra like 600 is to pshaw that away, and I get it. However the fantasy of getting Pollard extra concerned is reliant on issues that NFL groups simply don’t do, like use two backs, or make their working backs slot receivers. It’s a dream to by no means be realized with out Elliott sitting.
I believe Pollard in all probability does deserve an actual probability, my triggered Pollard stans. However he is not so good as a wholesome Elliott. And simply because it could have been the appropriate name final season does not make it one this yr. I like Elliott to retain RB2 worth at worst with an opportunity to be an actual RB1. I believe Pollard stays a backup. I perceive why the market has gone the place it has, I simply suppose it’s double-counting Elliott enjoying by harm.
La’el Collins is gone to Cincinnati, however Terence Steele improved from nearly unplayable in 2020 to mediocre in his snaps at proper sort out final yr. I chortle concerning the Tyler Smith draft choose as a result of the Cowboys, who led the NFL in penalties final yr, drafted somebody who dedicated 16 penalties in faculty final yr in 12 begins. However Smith clearly has the physicality and athleticism to play inside – he could be the long-term successor to Tyron Smith exterior. Dallas could have an upper-level offensive line till Martin and Tyron lastly fall off the cliff, every time that’s.
PointsBet over / beneath: 10.5 wins
It’s very straightforward to root in opposition to the Cowboys – enjoyable, too – however at the same time as scrappy as groups just like the Giants and Lions on the schedule look this season, it’s laborious to see Dallas critically pushed by most of their schedule. The NFC’s different first place groups? Positive. Philadelphia? I can see an argument. However the AFC South, NFC North, and 4 video games in opposition to the Giants and Commanders? I believe Dallas returns sufficient to take the over once more this yr. Could it result in one other McCarthian masterpiece.